Foreign-investment & sensitive-site screening
Geographic, ownership, and jurisdictional analysis of what a screening regime sees, misses, or cannot connect.
Independent national-security research & consulting
Make hidden exposure actionable.
I help defense, infrastructure, public-sector, and research organizations understand foreign ownership, supply-chain, key-person, drone-incursion, and national-security risks that are difficult to see in isolation.
My work is built for questions that conventional organizational charts are not designed to answer.
SCREENING GAPSOWNERSHIP VISIBILITYCOMPOUND RESILIENCE
How I can help
Specialist analysis when the perimeter is unclear.
I provide focused research and decision support for teams that need a defensible understanding of exposure, uncertainty, and practical response options. Not a generic risk score.
Ownership & entity-network research
Tracing control, opacity, conduit jurisdictions, and the federal-versus-state visibility gap through documented filings.
Supply-chain & critical-infrastructure resilience
Mapping dependencies across material inputs, operations, people, finance, digital systems, and recovery capacity.
Drone-incursion & counter-UAS analysis
Pattern analysis across incursions, restricted airspace, sensitive facilities, operator behavior, and the data or reconnaissance questions that follow.
Research, policy, & technical subcontracting
Primary-source research, reproducible analysis, policy memoranda, technical documentation, and analytical tool development.
Engagements
Answers built to hold up in front of a deal committee or a regulator.
Most exposure is found after the money moves. These engagements find it before. Each one ends in a written product that separates what is confirmed, what is inferred, and what no one can yet know.
Fixed scope · Fixed fee
Scoped assessment
A defensible answer to one hard question about a site, an entity, or a supply chain.
- You receive
- A sourced findings memo with graded confidence, the open questions that remain, and the office or agency that can act.
- Built for
- Counsel and deal teams who need the answer before signing, not after.
Hourly · Direct or by network
Expert consultation
Working time with the analyst who mapped the screening gap from primary-source filings.
- You receive
- Focused sessions on foreign-investment screening, ownership opacity, and supply-chain exposure, with written follow-up on request.
- Built for
- Investors, diligence teams, and expert-network clients.
Subcontract · Grant · Study
Research partnership
Unclassified research capacity that arrives with its own data, code, and methods.
- You receive
- Reproducible analysis, versioned code, and policy memoranda your team can inspect, rerun, and defend.
- Built for
- Prime contractors, research institutions, and state and federal offices.
The working method
Make the claim survive scrutiny.
Every engagement separates what is confirmed, what is inferred, what remains unknown, and what decision follows. Models expose their assumptions. Findings are tested against comparison cases and null results wherever the data permits.
The objective is not to manufacture certainty. It is to give a decision-maker a clearer map of the evidence, the information gap, and the institution that can act.
See methods and toolsSelected work
A connected research program, built to be inspected.
Flagship research program
Foreign-investment screening architecture
Spatial signal, ownership visibility, regulatory perimeter, and state-federal coordination, examined as parts of one screening system.
Technical stack & paper linksDecision-support tools
Compound resilience
Open-source simulators for supply chains, economic fragility, water resources, human capital, defense inventories, and resilience investment.
Explore the portfolioEvidence standard
Reproducible by design
Primary-source data, transparent assumptions, source-level provenance, versioned code, and explicit interpretation guardrails.
Review the methodsArticles & commentary
Research translated for the public record.
Published analysis and work under editorial review. Papers, methods, and reproducible code live in the technical portfolio.
PublishedUSDA, Treasury Moves May Widen Agricultural Deal ScrutinyLaw360 Expert Analysis · July 27, 2026↗
PublishedCognitive Warfare Runs on Data: The Definition Washington Still OwesSmall Wars Journal · September 9, 2026↗
Under reviewBuy, Don't Steal: The Economics of Cognitive WarfareSmall Wars Journal
Latest from Substack
Current analysis.
The newest posts from my Substack, updated as they publish.
Recent analysis is on Substack ↗.
Public writing
Working arguments, in the open.
Some ideas are worth publishing even when conventional outlets move slowly. I use Substack and LinkedIn to put working arguments, methods, and implications up for discussion.
About
A systems background for boundary problems.
Robert J. Green is an independent national-security researcher and systems engineer. He combines spatial econometrics, beneficial-ownership analysis, systems engineering, and national-security economics to study risks that sit between institutional boundaries.
He served as a U.S. Army-trained Air Defense Artillery officer in the Florida Army National Guard, has 30 years of systems and software engineering experience, and holds an MBA from the University of Central Florida. His analysis has appeared in Law360 and Small Wars Journal.
Request a conversationEngagements
What important risk needs a clearer answer?
Tell me what you are trying to understand, what information is missing, and what a useful answer would change.