Foreign-investment & sensitive-site screening
Geographic, ownership, and jurisdictional analysis of what a screening regime sees, misses, or cannot connect.
Independent national-security research & consulting
Make hidden exposure actionable.
I help defense, infrastructure, public-sector, and research organizations understand foreign ownership, supply-chain, key-person, drone-incursion, and national-security risks that are difficult to see in isolation.
My work is built for questions that conventional organizational charts are not designed to answer.
SCREENING GAPSOWNERSHIP VISIBILITYCOMPOUND RESILIENCE
How I can help
Specialist analysis when the perimeter is unclear.
I provide focused research and decision support for teams that need a defensible understanding of exposure, uncertainty, and practical response options—not a generic risk score.
Ownership & entity-network research
Tracing control, opacity, conduit jurisdictions, and the federal-versus-state visibility gap through documented filings.
Supply-chain & critical-infrastructure resilience
Mapping dependencies across material inputs, operations, people, finance, digital systems, and recovery capacity.
Drone-incursion & counter-UAS analysis
Pattern analysis across incursions, restricted airspace, sensitive facilities, operator behavior, and the data or reconnaissance questions that follow.
Research, policy, & technical subcontracting
Primary-source research, reproducible analysis, policy memoranda, technical documentation, and analytical tool development.
The working method
Make the claim survive scrutiny.
Every engagement separates what is confirmed, what is inferred, what remains unknown, and what decision follows. Models expose their assumptions. Findings are tested against comparison cases and null results wherever the data permits.
The objective is not to manufacture certainty. It is to give a decision-maker a clearer map of the evidence, the information gap, and the institution that can act.
See methods and toolsSelected work
A connected research program, built to be inspected.
Flagship research program
Foreign-investment screening architecture
Spatial signal, ownership visibility, regulatory perimeter, and state-federal coordination—examined as parts of one screening system.
Technical stack & paper linksDecision-support tools
Compound resilience
Open-source simulators for supply chains, economic fragility, water resources, human capital, defense inventories, and resilience investment.
Explore the portfolioEvidence standard
Reproducible by design
Primary-source data, transparent assumptions, source-level provenance, versioned code, and explicit interpretation guardrails.
Review the methodsArticles & commentary
Research translated for the public record.
A selected record of published analysis, editor-gated work, and developing commentary. The technical portfolio remains the source for papers, methods, and reproducible code.
PublishedUSDA, Treasury Moves May Widen Agricultural Deal ScrutinyLaw360 Expert Analysis · July 27, 2026↗
PublishedCognitive Warfare Runs on Data: The Definition Washington Still OwesSmall Wars Journal · September 9, 2026↗
Editor-gatedBuy, Don't Steal: The Economics of Cognitive WarfareSmall Wars Journal · Under review—
In developmentThe Ammunition Dump: What the Meta Settlement Reveals About the Data Layer of Cognitive WarfareSmall Wars Journal · Developing—
Latest from Substack
Current analysis, without the redeployment cycle.
This list is loaded from the Substack RSS feed and controlled by the SUBSTACK_ARTICLE_LIMIT Cloudflare environment variable.
Loading recent analysis…
Public writing
Research translated for policy and professional audiences.
Some ideas are worth publishing even when conventional outlets move slowly. I use Substack and LinkedIn to make working arguments, methods, and implications available for discussion.
About
A systems background for boundary problems.
Robert J. Green is an independent national-security researcher and defense-systems professional. He combines spatial econometrics, beneficial-ownership analysis, systems engineering, and national-security economics to study risks that sit between institutional boundaries.
He is a former U.S. Army Air Defense Artillery officer, has more than two decades of experience with complex defense and enterprise systems, and holds an MBA from the University of Central Florida.
Request a conversationEngagements
What important risk needs a clearer answer?
Tell me what you are trying to understand, what information is missing, and what a useful answer would change.