ue4mf Consulting Services — RJG Research & Analytics

Consulting Services · RJG Research & Analytics

Research-Grade Intelligence
Operationalized for
Real Decisions

Two production analytical platforms — adversarial ownership chain tracing and multi-sector cascade modeling — available for think tanks, federal agencies, defense contractors, and enterprise supply chain teams.

12.3M
Ownership edges traced
92.7%
Federal visibility gap (Chinese AFIDA)
111
Supply chain chokepoints modeled
7
Corporate tiers, ChemChina → Syngenta

Analytical Products

What the Tools Do

Both tools are built as production Python systems with full test suites, deterministic output, and peer-reviewed methodological foundations. They are the instruments behind four published papers, not proofs-of-concept.

SECMap

Deterministic beneficial ownership chain tracing through SEC EDGAR filings. Classifies every entity in the chain by jurisdiction risk tier — adversarial, conduit, opacity, monitored, or standard — and detects state-actor affiliations at every layer.

Ownership Intelligence

Capabilities

  • Recursive CIK traversal to 10 ownership layers; 10-K, 20-F, SC 13D/G, DEF 14A parsing
  • 5-tier jurisdiction risk classification across 135+ countries
  • State-actor affiliation detection: SOEs, sovereign wealth funds, MCF-linked, UFWD proxies, PEPs
  • AFIDA cross-reference: matches USDA entities against SEC universe, measures the federal visibility gap
  • Exhibit 21 subsidiary parsing and XBRL descension engine (downward ownership)
  • State SOS integration: 51-jurisdiction access catalog and gap analyzer
  • Network visualization (Graphviz/PyVis) and risk-rated intelligence reports per entity
  • 25-column deterministic CSV output with full provenance per edge
Python 3.10+ · 258 tests · Apache 2.0

Key Findings

The Three-System Visibility Gap

Of 82 Chinese-linked AFIDA entities analyzed, 92.7% are structurally invisible to federal ownership analysis. AFIDA records subsidiaries. The SEC records parents. State SOS records the rest. No federal system connects them.

Smithfield Foods (WH Group) — CRITICAL

353 ownership edges, 12 adversarial-jurisdiction connections, 38 named individuals including Chinese leadership personnel. Agriculture & Food supply chain alert generated.

ChemChina → Syngenta

Seven corporate tiers across six jurisdictions — China, Hong Kong, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Switzerland, United States — using single-purpose vehicles the SEC filing describes as having "not conducted any other activities."

MTS Doctrine Simulator

Deterministic multi-sector cascade engine. Models how shocks propagate across 111 critical chokepoints in pharmaceuticals, energy, semiconductors, food systems, critical minerals, logistics, and defense. Validated against seven historical events.

Cascade Modeling

Capabilities

  • 111 supply chain chokepoints, 160 propagation edges, 2,979 discrete dependencies modeled
  • 32 predefined shock scenarios: chokepoint failures, adversary retaliation chains, graduated escalation, climate events, compound activations
  • T+ cascade timelines (hours through months) with substitution timeline and permanent damage modeling
  • Monte Carlo investment prioritization: where to spend the next dollar across 11 mitigation blueprints
  • Historical backtesting against 7 real events (2021 chip shortage, 2022 Texas freeze, 2024 Hurricane Helene, etc.)
  • 10-country dependency and leverage profiles (US, China, India, Russia, Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Iraq)
  • MTS detection: flags compound activation when 3+ sectors exceed simultaneous stress thresholds
  • Policy-grade markdown reports with Wall Street / Main Street / household impact framing
Python 3.10+ · 98 tests · Apache 2.0

Validated Scenarios

Hurricane Helene / Spruce Pine, NC

Category 4 + 24 inches of rain → Spruce Pine quartz mine shutdown → global semiconductor supply chain shock. Quartz → crucibles → silicon wafers → semiconductors → defense systems. A localized weather event with global blast radius.

China Industrial Tempo Shock

40% EV/battery production acceleration → global market flooding → Western automaker margin collapse → industrial base attrition. Models doctrine-level OODA loop asymmetry as a measurable supply chain vector.

Export Control Retaliation Chain

U.S. semiconductor export restriction → Chinese critical mineral controls → pharmaceutical API disruption → defense logistics stress. Full retaliation sequence with per-sector timeline and escalation probability.

Services & Pricing

Engagement Types

Structured in three tiers to match client profiles, from single-question assessments to ongoing institutional partnerships. Pricing reflects independent consulting overhead — a fraction of Big Four or prime contractor rates.

Tier 1 — Introductory
Scoped Assessments
$2,500 – $6,000
Single-question engagements. Designed for first-contact qualification, initial due diligence, or exploratory scenario work before committing to a larger project.
  • Supply chain exposure screening (1–5 entities via SECMap)
  • Single-sector cascade scenario brief with T+ timeline
  • Executive summary deliverable (10–15 pages + slides)
  • Risk-rated ownership chain report with jurisdiction classification
Tier 3 — Retainer
Ongoing Access
$4,000/mo – $80,000/yr
Continuous access to analytical capability, scenario updates, and researcher availability. For organizations that need standing supply chain intelligence or ongoing strategic foresight support.
  • Monthly retainer: SECMap runs, MTS updates, analyst availability
  • Annual think tank partnership: dedicated research support, co-authorship
  • Commercial intelligence license: data export integration, quarterly updates
  • Government / agency contracts structured per SOW or OTA
Government agencies and qualifying research institutions: No-cost introductory briefings are available for CISA, CFIUS/Treasury, USDA, DIA/ODNI, and congressional research staff. A CISA NRMC-ready briefing deck is available on request. Contact to schedule a 45–60 minute capability walkthrough.

Free Introductory Briefing — Government & Academic

A 45–60 minute capability walkthrough covering methodology, recent scenario findings, and how SECMap or the MTS Simulator applies to your organization's mission. No commitment required.

Request a Briefing

Who This Is For

Target Client Profiles

The tools fill documented gaps that generalist risk consultancies and government-produced analysis leave open. These are the organizations for whom that gap matters most.

Tier A — Strategic Alignment

National Security Think Tanks

Organizations that commission research, brief Congress, and engage the intelligence community directly. SECMap and the MTS Simulator address methodology gaps in their existing analytical frameworks.

  • RAND Corporation
  • Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)
  • Atlantic Council — GeoEconomics Center
  • Center for a New American Security (CNAS)
  • Hoover Institution, Wilson Center, Brookings
Tier B — Mission Alignment

Federal Agencies & Programs

Direct mission alignment with CISA, CFIUS, USDA, and DIA. Engagements structured as consulting contracts, research agreements, or OTA instruments depending on program requirements.

  • CISA — National Risk Management Center
  • CFIUS — Treasury / Commerce
  • USDA — Foreign Agricultural Service
  • DIA / ODNI Analytic Community
  • Congressional Research Service
Tier C — Commercial Application

Enterprise & Defense Contractors

Large organizations with China-linked vendor or competitor exposure, M&A programs in strategic sectors, or CFIUS / ITAR / BIOSECURE Act compliance obligations.

  • Defense contractors (Tier 1–2 prime and sub)
  • Pharmaceutical manufacturers (API chain exposure)
  • Semiconductor and electronics firms
  • Financial services / private equity (due diligence)
  • Energy, utilities, and agribusiness

The Principal

Robert J. Green

Two decades of complex systems engineering for government and enterprise — preceded by service as a U.S. Army Air Defense Artillery officer — means every analytical claim is held to the standard of professionals who have operated in these environments. The research program on this site grew from original methodology developed for The Silent Conquest, a four-book geopolitical thriller series: a spatial analysis framework built for fiction produced statistically significant results when validated against USDA primary data.

Four papers are published on SSRN covering spatial clustering of foreign agricultural acquisitions, the federal three-system ownership visibility gap, counterfactual CFIUS jurisdiction analysis, and multi-sector supply chain dependency mapping. The two open-source tools — SECMap and the MTS Doctrine Simulator — are the computational implementations of that research, available for consulting engagement.

PhD by Publication candidate, University of Westminster (planned supervisor: Dr. Spinder Dhaliwal). MBA, University of Central Florida.

Former U.S. Army ADA Officer MBA — UCF PhD Candidate — Westminster 20+ Yrs Defense Systems Engineering 4 Published Papers (SSRN)

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